No, not possible.
It is possible that, score may raise but for sure it will not drop down to 430. If it drops by any means, it will be just minimal margin like 438, 439…even 435 will have to look for PNPs.
It is bcz, more and more highly qualified applicants r entering Express Entry pool and competition is increasing day by day. Blame it on US H1B visa restrictions or whatever u want. More people from USA considering Canadian immigration. They r highly qualified people plus fluent in English and stand a better chance compared to all others.
While u wait for ur turn, just concentrate on PNP. As u already have great score, u will have a better shot at PNP as well.
In most of the PNPs, your CRS score does not matter. The only PNP where CRS mattered was Ontario, and recently they too abolished this criteria. Bu that being said, If you have high CRS score like 430s chances are that, you are going to score high in PNP points grid calculation as well. So its always a win win situation actually to have high CRS.
Each PNP has its own criteria for eligibility.You need to dig into each PNP website and look where your NOC is in demand. After that, have look on eligibility criteria.
If you find that you are eligible, apply with all documents in hand. It takes time to collect all the documents, work smartly on that.
While going for PNP, one should keep in mind the fact that, PNP changes from time to time. You will find eligible today in one PNP, you prepare with all documents and suddenly they change the rule and you are ineligible. They change according to their labor market demand. One day they will add new NOCs and the other they will will remove some NOCs. It happens and you must be mentally prepared for all these types of situations. You need to keep monitoring their websites or join Watsapp groups to keep yourself updated.
Checkout Nova Scotia, Saskatchewan, New Brunswick and Ontario PNPs.They accept applications without job offer.
Here is brief about all PNPs.
1. British Columbia
2. New Found land and Labrador
3. Alberta: You must be present in Alberta to apply or at least you have studied in Alberta or you have your close relatives living there. They pick directly from EE pool. Its a new system launched in June 2018 and we are yet to see it in operation.
4. Manitoba
if you read about Manitoba, you may be already qualified for that, but they have bizarre condition of compulsory close relative. (strong connection). if you have close friend there, it may give you 50 points, but it will not be sufficient to get invite. if you don’t have any connection in Manitoba, just forget about it.
5. PEI: They do not have clear rules who they will invite. Generally, you need to have EE profile to apply for Expression of Interest. if you have active EE profile just go to PEI website and apply. General assumption is that they invite as per their labor market requirements. Sad fact is that they have not invited anyone from outside Canada so far. So, I see no chance there, just apply and forget about it.
6. New Brunswick:For express entry stream, You need to have EE profile first. If you have French language, your chances are fair at NB. Also, they hold regular information session throughout the year all over the world. If you manage to attend that session, you will be eligible to apply. So, have your EE profile ready and lookout for their Info session and they do have occupation in demand list. if your NOC is in their OID list, then only you can apply.If you have close relative in NB, your chances are even higher.
7. Ontario:They pick directly from EE pool as per the labor market requirements. They do not have standard Occupation in demand list. Recently they abolished the minimum CRS criteria of 400 aswell which is great. Now you just need to have active EE profile and you are eligible to be picked from EE pool. Make sure to mark interest in ALL PROVINCES in your express entry profile section. They will issue letter of interest in your EE profile or email if your NOC found to be what they are looking for. Checkout the application guide on their website. It will clear all your doubts as it is very simple to understand. Another option is French language. if you have active EE profile and CRS around 300–350 or anything above and you have French language credentials, you will be invited. This is happening now, but we do not know when it will stop.
8. Saskatchewan:It was by far the most popular PNP for outsiders who do not have job offers. They have 2 sub streams called as OID and express entry. previously if you score 60 points as per SINP points grid system, you had fair chances of nomination, but the system changes now. You need to compete now with other applicants in EOI pool.In express entry sub stream, you must have EE profile. CRS does not matter. if you score minimum 60 points as per SINP points grid, you may http://apply.in OID sub stream, you do not need to have EE profile: CLB 4 will get you eligible to apply for OID but you still need to score that 60 points grid.Starting from 16 July 2018, you will need to create account for Expression of interest system. You will be ranked among all in the pool. Those who got higher points will be invited. In this case, it is obvious that those who are already in Saskatchewan or strong connection will get higher points. Now it is heartbreaking to see that outsiders without job offers will have hard time to get nomination.
They announced their first ever draw last week ( August 20 or 21 ) inviting 340 something applicants and cut off score was 67.
On September 20, they had another draw for OID stream and minimumcut off was 75..very high.
9. Nova Scotia:By far the best and friendliest PNP. Drawback is they have very limited OID list. You need to have EE profile first to be eligible to apply for category B (without job offers) and your NOC should be there in OID to apply. You need to score 67 points to qualify. Just go to NS website and you will find application guide there which is very simple to understand. They open intake throughout the year and take limited applications. As per previous intakes and as of Today, it is first come first serve basis. So, when the intake opens, it is very hard to apply because of website traffic. in last intake on April 28, 2018, they opened for 350 applications. They will open again in July end or in August 2018. Now the question remains, whether they will also go SINP way of EOI system. If they do that, then it will be very hard specially for those around boundary line of 67, 68, 69, & 70.Recently they started new stream called labor market priorities. In this stream selected NOCs will be directly picked form EE pool and invited to apply for nomination. Their first draw took place on 08 Aug 2018 and they invited around 314 letters of interests to only one NOC which is child care teachers I think. It is expected that they change NOC for each round of invitation. Interesting..
11. Quebec:I am not so familiar with this PNP. They have announced new EOI system recently. Check their website. Their preference is for Francophones, but it is not compulsory if you can qualify with other points as per the points grid system.
10. last one Morden (it Is not a province. It is part of Manitoba)Comes under Manitoba province. If you don’t have any option left and you need to immigrate to CA at any cost, try this. You may be in, but survival will be big challenge here as the population is mere 8 or 9000 there. No jobs at all. you will be on your own. They do have OID list but have heard if you convince them that you can settle there, you will be invited to an exploration visit and based on the visit assessment (positive) you will be nominated
Good luck
Thanks for Reading
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